This Research Briefing reports the results of a study which aimed to capture the diversity of farmers' responses to policy reform and to other drivers, such as high market prices.
A spatial model was developed for an intensive cropping catchment, the Lunan catchment in Angus, Scotland and current proposals for the CAP reform scenario were run and compared against a baseline of no-reform. Under the no-reform scenario the area under cereal crops increases while grassland is significantly reduced. At a catchment level, a higher degree of spatial cropping diversity results from reform as does a higher number of breeding skylarks. Under the reform scenario, gross margins per hectare decrease more rapidly than under the no-reform scenario.
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2012: Modelling CAP reform measures on an intensive cropping area