Andrew Duncan

Research Interests

I work as a part-time researcher within the Epidemiology Team in SRUC at Inverness and thus provide a research link between SRUC and Inverness College, UHI where I teach maths. I provide SRUC with expertise in modelling (programming in C and R), data analysis – especially network data, and the creation and maintenance of online databases.

I am a mathematics lecturer/researcher employed at Inverness College UHI and I currently work with SRUC on the following topics:

  • impact of empirical contact networks in the spread of disease in cattle
  • effects of herd size on BVD spread in Scottish herds
  • possibilities for online reporting and mapping of blowfly in Scotland
  • Marine Stranding Scheme Scotland and www.strandings.org

I graduated with a degree in maths from the University of Edinburgh in 2005 and continued on to complete my PhD on the estimation of the properties of composite materials via the strong-property-fluctuation-theory in 2009.

I then moved to Inverness and began working at both Inverness College UHI and SRUC. I teach a variety of courses at the College both face to face and online.

Resources

An online calculator for determining sample sizes when planning a two stage survey for estimating herd level prevalence and where the test is known to be imperfect (using method described in Humphry et al. 2004).

Selected Publications

  • Duncan, A.J., Gunn, G.J., Umstatter, C., & Humphry, R.W. 2014. “Replicating disease spread in empirical cattle networks by adjusting the probability of infection in random networks”. Theoretical Population Biology 98: 11-18. Full Text
  • Duncan A.J., Gunn G.J., Lewis F.I., Umstatter C, Humphry R.W., 2012 The influence of empirical contact networks on modelling diseases in cattle, Epidemics, 4, 117-123. Full text

Andrew Duncan

Address: Future Farming Systems
Epidemiology Research Unit
Plot 10, An Lòchran
Inverness Campus
Inverness
IV2 5NA

E-mail: Andrew.Duncan@sruc.ac.uk